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Chris Wysocki
Caldwell, NJ
The nine most terrifying words in the English language are "I'm from the government and I'm here to help." - Ronald Reagan
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From the "I told you so" department: Humana just released their Obamacare enrollment mix, and the numbers aren't pretty. The only people who signed up for Obamacare were those who really had to. That is, the really sick, and the really old. This is known as "adverse selection," and it's the insurance industry's biggest nightmare, because it's gonna cost them a fortune.
Health insurer Humana Inc said on Thursday that it projected its enrollment mix in private plans through the exchanges created by President Barack Obama's healthcare law will be, "more adverse than previously expected."
Humana attributed the enrollment trend to regulatory changes allowing people to remain in previously existing plans not sold on the exchanges. Obama proposed allowing insurers to keep selling plans that did not comply with the Affordable Care Act after political fallout that he was not keeping his promise that people can keep insurance plans if they like them.
Where are all the young, healthy people Obama counted on to subsidize this pool of costly consumers? On their parents' plan! Or sitting Obamacare out, no matter what Pajama Boy told them to do.
And it doesn't help that he had to backtrack on his individual mandate by actually making good on his promise.
In short, people who prefer not to enroll in ObamaCare because they preferred the options they had are now availing themselves of the opportunity to evade this monstrosity, at least for the moment. That leaves the pool even more dominated than it already would have been to people who are enrolling only because they have no other choice - mainly older people or those with pre-existing conditions. When that's your pool, you're in trouble. That was the idea of the individual mandate in the first place. Democrats did understand, in spite of what they said, that many people wouldn't voluntarily sign up and they would have to be forced. So force them they would, because that would be the only way to get the premium dollars that would be necessary to provide coverage for the old and the already-sick.
The whole time Obama was assuring people that if they liked their plan they could keep their plan, he knew perfectly well that if it actually played out that way, it would drive the health insurance industry to financial ruin. But when faced with political consequences for breaking the promise, he threw the insurers under the bus and sacrificed a crucial element of his grand scheme in the service of saving his own political ass. The consequence? Exactly what you see. The mix is terrible, even worse than insurers first feared, and without repeal they're headed for the lovely experience of coming hat-in-hand to the government for a bailout.
Well, isn't that special?
Obamacare is health insurance for the sick and the dying.
Wanna know the Really Good News? You're still gonna pay for their insurance, even if you don't sign up. Because the taxpayers are on the hook for that bailout.
"There is essentially no risk of a 'death spiral,'" says MIT economist Jonathan Gruber, who helped design the ACA as well as the Massachusetts law on which it was modeled. "There are substantial risk mitigation mechanisms as well as subsidies that will attract in healthy enrollees." Most important, say Gruber and Zirkelbach, is a section of the ACA under which the federal government will pick up a substantial portion of the losses for the next three years, if the program goes sour for insurers.
The subsidies thing has, of course, gone swimmingly. So it's on to the bailout! Because when these clowns say "federal government" they mean "you and me." We'll get taxed, or more likely our grandchildren will get taxed, to keep this abomination afloat.
The only way out is repeal.
Posted at 16:11 by Chris Wysocki
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